Charlestown City Blues 3-1 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.8pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.56/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.47
-3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlestown City Blues
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Weston Bears
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 0-0 HT 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
07.04.2024 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-3 HT 0-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
27.08.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-0 HT 1-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNSW
09.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-1 HT 1-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNSW
16.04.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-2 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
24.07.2022 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-0 HT 2-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
POST-MATCH Charlestown City Blues vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlestown City Blues beat Weston Bears 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Weston Bears at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Charlestown City Blues and 1.00 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of Charlestown City Blues vs Weston Bears?

Charlestown City Blues 3-1 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlestown City Blues vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Charlestown City Blues 33%, draw 25%, Weston Bears 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Weston Bears), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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