Charlestown City Blues 1-3 Weston Bears — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.7pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.90/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.52
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlestown City Blues
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Weston Bears
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-0 HT 1-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNSW
09.07.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-1 HT 1-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNSW
16.04.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-2 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
24.07.2022 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-0 HT 2-0 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
08.05.2022 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-3 HT 1-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
29.05.2021 Weston Bears Weston Bears 2-2 HT 1-0 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
POST-MATCH Charlestown City Blues vs Weston Bears
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears beat Charlestown City Blues 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Weston Bears found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlestown City Blues had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Charlestown City Blues and 1.17 for Weston Bears.

What was the final score of Charlestown City Blues vs Weston Bears?

Charlestown City Blues 1-3 Weston Bears in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlestown City Blues vs Weston Bears?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlestown City Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Charlestown City Blues 38%, draw 32%, Weston Bears 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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