Sydney United 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Sydney United
1-2 HT 0-1
Rockdale Ilinden
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney United v Rockdale Ilinden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.83/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.62
-10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.57 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
409 Passes 398
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.07.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 3-3 HT 0-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
02.04.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 3-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
26.06.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-3 HT 0-2 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
10.04.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 0-2 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
25.04.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
25.10.2020 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-3 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden squeezed past Sydney United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sydney United and 2.33 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Sydney United 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 25%, draw 23%, Rockdale Ilinden 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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