Manly United 0-5 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.3pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 55%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.60/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.57
-23% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.17 xG 1.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
376 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.08.2023 Manly United Manly United 2-2 HT 1-2 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
29.04.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-1 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
07.08.2020 Manly United Manly United 0-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney W. II cruised past Manly United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Western Sydney W. II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Western Sydney W. II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Manly United and 1.33 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of Manly United vs Western Sydney W. II?

Manly United 0-5 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manly United 33%, draw 21%, Western Sydney W. II 46%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney W. II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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