Wollongong Wolves 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Wollongong Wolves
1-2 HT 1-0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
52%
Away Win
48%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wollongong Wolves v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.33/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.76
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.5 Crosses 21.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wollongong Wolves
1W-2D-3L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 2.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
256 Passes 272
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.05.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 HT 1-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
03.02.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
19.06.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 2-2 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
01.04.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0 HT 0-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
23.04.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 2-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
07.08.2020 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-4 HT 1-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers nicked a narrow win over Wollongong Wolves 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wollongong Wolves and 2.00 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Wollongong Wolves 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Wollongong Wolves 23%, draw 25%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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