Neftçi PFK vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neftçi PFK v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals
Neftçi PFK vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Karabağ
AZERS
4-0
HT 3-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
4-1
HT 1-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERK
0-4
HT 0-3
Karabağ
AZERK
1-4
HT 0-0
Karabağ
AZERS
2-0
HT 0-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
Karabağ edged past Neftçi PFK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Neftçi PFK and 3.50 for Karabağ.
What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Karabağ?
Neftçi PFK 0-1 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Karabağ?
Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 22%, draw 24%, Karabağ 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.