Turan Tovuz 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.53/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.05
+43% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
29.11.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
21.09.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
11.05.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
10.03.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
24.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
04.08.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz nicked a narrow win over Araz Nahçıvan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Turan Tovuz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Turan Tovuz and 0.67 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Turan Tovuz 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 37%, draw 29%, Araz Nahçıvan 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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16 Feb 2025
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