Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
0.62/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.95
-49% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.09.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
11.05.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
10.03.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
24.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
04.08.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan nicked a narrow win over Turan Tovuz 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Araz Nahçıvan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 2.00 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 32%, draw 34%, Turan Tovuz 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
29 Nov 2024
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