Sabah 1-0 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
2.18/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.32
-2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sebail FK
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.09.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-4 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
27.04.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
24.02.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
10.12.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
30.09.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
08.04.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah edged past Sebail FK 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sabah and 1.33 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Sebail FK?

Sabah 1-0 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sabah 60%, draw 21%, Sebail FK 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
29 Nov 2024
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