Sebail FK 2-4 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.9
Over 2.5
59%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
49%
-8.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
51%
+8.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.7pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
1.28/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.04
+19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sabah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
27.04.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
24.02.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
10.12.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
30.09.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
08.04.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
06.02.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah beat Sebail FK 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sebail FK and 2.17 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Sabah?

Sebail FK 2-4 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 31%, draw 29%, Sabah 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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