Sabah 2-0 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Apr 2024

Sabah
2-0 HT 2-0
Sebail FK
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Sabah vs Sebail FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sabah v Sebail FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.12/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.55
-30% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sabah vs Sebail FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sebail FK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
75% Ball Possession 25%
17 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
10.12.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
30.09.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
08.04.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
06.02.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
19.12.2022 Sabah Sabah 0-1 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERK
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah got the better of Sebail FK 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sabah and 1.17 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Sebail FK?

Sabah 2-0 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sabah 44%, draw 23%, Sebail FK 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Over 2.5
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