Sebail FK 2-0 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +3%
1.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.31
+16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sabah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
25% Ball Possession 75%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.12.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
30.09.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
08.04.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
06.02.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
19.12.2022 Sabah Sabah 0-1 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERK
09.12.2022 Sebail FK Sebail FK 3-2 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERK
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK got the better of Sabah 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sebail FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sebail FK and 2.17 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Sabah?

Sebail FK 2-0 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 32%, draw 28%, Sabah 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabah), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
24 Feb 2024
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