Turan Tovuz 1-1 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

Turan Tovuz
1-1 HT 0-0
Neftçi PFK
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Turan Tovuz vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Turan Tovuz v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.64/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.07
+52% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Turan Tovuz vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-2 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
30.09.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
07.05.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 4-0 HT 3-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
19.04.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERK
05.03.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 4-0 HT 2-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
15.12.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz and Neftçi PFK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.50 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Neftçi PFK?

Turan Tovuz 1-1 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 33%, draw 31%, Neftçi PFK 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
24 Feb 2024
16:30 Sebail FK vs Sabah Analysis →