Boussu Dour Borinage 1-2 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.75
Over 2.5
37%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.67
6+ Goals
7%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 38% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.4pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.0pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 37%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.09/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.98
-61% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.6 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.26 xG 0.72
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
204 Passes 345
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 0-1 HT 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
1-2
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
1.00 xG 2.70
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
180 Passes 513
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokeren-Temse nicked a narrow win over Boussu Dour Borinage 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 37% / 26% — and on the day Lokeren-Temse made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 30% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 70%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.00 to 2.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lokeren-Temse's control.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs Lokeren-Temse?

Boussu Dour Borinage 1-2 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 37%, draw 37%, Lokeren-Temse 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/26) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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