PSIS Semarang 1-1 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.0pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.29/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.42
+3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
266 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSIS Semarang
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSM Makassar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
261 Passes 205
20.09.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-0 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
16.04.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 3-1 HT 0-1 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
19.12.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-0 HT 1-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
06.03.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-1 HT 1-1 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
22.11.2021 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-0 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
27.11.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-0 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSIS Semarang vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSIS Semarang and PSM Makassar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for PSIS Semarang and 1.17 for PSM Makassar.

What was the final score of PSIS Semarang vs PSM Makassar?

PSIS Semarang 1-1 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIS Semarang vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PSIS Semarang 31%, draw 28%, PSM Makassar 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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