PSM Makassar 3-1 PSIS Semarang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Apr 2024

PSM Makassar
3-1 HT 0-1
PSIS Semarang
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

PSM Makassar vs PSIS Semarang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.97
Over 2.5
36%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
1.76
No
69%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
47%
+17.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
53%
-17.3pp
31%
BTTS Yes
53%
-21.5pp
69%
BTTS No
47%
+21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSM Makassar v PSIS Semarang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.35/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.26
-24% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

PSM Makassar vs PSIS Semarang Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
2W-0D-3L
AWAY PSIS Semarang
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
205 Passes 261
The Meetings
19.12.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-0 HT 1-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
06.03.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-1 HT 1-1 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
22.11.2021 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-0 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
27.11.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-0 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
11.09.2019 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs PSIS Semarang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar got the better of PSIS Semarang 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, PSIS Semarang led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for PSM Makassar and 0.80 for PSIS Semarang.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs PSIS Semarang?

PSM Makassar 3-1 PSIS Semarang in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs PSIS Semarang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 50%, draw 26%, PSIS Semarang 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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16 Apr 2024
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