Persebaya Surabaya 0-3 Dewa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Apr 2024

Persebaya Surabaya
0-3 HT 0-1
Dewa United
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2023/2024

Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Persebaya Surabaya v Dewa United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dewa United EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.46/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.91
-2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dewa United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
24.12.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 1-2 HT 1-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United ran out comfortable winners over Persebaya Surabaya 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Persebaya Surabaya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United?

Persebaya Surabaya 0-3 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Dewa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 42%, draw 28%, Dewa United 30%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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