Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.55
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.41
X/2
13%
6.03
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.2
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 37%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.46/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.29
+3% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
14.0 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.81 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
25.05.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
17.03.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
03.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
02.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
19.03.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2-1
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
377 Passes 351
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors edged past Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Jeonbuk Motors found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 52% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 48%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.50 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 40%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
16 Feb 2025
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