Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.37
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.94
X/2
14%
6.29
X/X
11%
3.88
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
14%
4.88
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.70/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.34
+51% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.3 Crosses 17.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
06.08.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
08.04.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
18.05.2008 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 4-1 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.48 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
401 Passes 323
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse nicked a narrow win over Tokyo Verdy 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Shimizu S-Pulse made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 55% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 45%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.48 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.25 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 40%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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