Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.49
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.19
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
9%
6.57
X/2
19%
4.79
X/X
12%
3.92
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.19
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 45%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
0.79/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.91
-15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.4 Crosses 21.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
220 Passes 331
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 0
28.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 2-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
03.04.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
1-2
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima nicked a narrow win over Machida Zelvia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sanfrecce Hiroshima found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 46% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 54%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Machida Zelvia and 2.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 31%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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