Budafoki MTE 2-4 Kisvarda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 16 Feb 2025

Budafoki MTE
2-4 HT 2-0
Kisvarda
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Hungary - NB II – 2024/2025

Budafoki MTE vs Kisvarda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Budafoki MTE v Kisvarda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.26/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.60
+7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Budafoki MTE vs Kisvarda Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budafoki MTE
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Kisvarda
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-2 HT 0-2 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
01.03.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-0 HT 2-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MACK
27.02.2021 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-0 HT 0-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
28.11.2020 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC
17.08.2020 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-1 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
POST-MATCH Budafoki MTE vs Kisvarda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda beat Budafoki MTE 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Kisvarda found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Budafoki MTE had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Budafoki MTE and 0.40 for Kisvarda.

What was the final score of Budafoki MTE vs Kisvarda?

Budafoki MTE 2-4 Kisvarda in the Hungary - NB II on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budafoki MTE vs Kisvarda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Budafoki MTE 36%, draw 26%, Kisvarda 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kisvarda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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