Al Mokawloon 2-0 Sporting Alexandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.79/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.38
+15% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 6
21.10.2024 Sporting Alexandria 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
2-0
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Sporting Alexandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon saw off Sporting Alexandria 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Mokawloon as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 60% of the ball to Sporting Alexandria's 40%, shots finished 8-4.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Sporting Alexandria?

Al Mokawloon 2-0 Sporting Alexandria in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Sporting Alexandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 46%, draw 27%, Sporting Alexandria 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Mokawloon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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