Sporting Alexandria 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.52
Over 2.5
27%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.03
No
67%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.4pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.1pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.3pp
73%
Under 2.5
62%
+10.7pp
27%
Over 2.5
38%
-10.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
45%
-12.6pp
67%
BTTS No
55%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
204 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Alexandria
1-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Alexandria vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Alexandria and Al Mokawloon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Mokawloon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Sporting Alexandria had 41% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 59%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Sporting Alexandria vs Al Mokawloon?

Sporting Alexandria 1-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Alexandria vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Alexandria 27%, draw 29%, Al Mokawloon 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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