Al Qanah 1-0 Derot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qanah EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Derot EU Bookmakers 24%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Qanah
1-0
AWAY Derot
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Qanah vs Derot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qanah edged past Derot 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Qanah as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Qanah had 65% of the ball to Derot's 35%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Al Qanah vs Derot?

Al Qanah 1-0 Derot in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qanah vs Derot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qanah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Qanah 45%, draw 26%, Derot 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qanah) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Qanah) ✗ BTTS Yes
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