Cerro Porteno 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.5pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.84/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/5.00
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% / -64%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno edged past Deportivo Recoleta 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 38%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Cerro Porteno 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 56%, draw 24%, Deportivo Recoleta 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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