Nacional Asuncion 1-2 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
0.96/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.76
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
17.09.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.04.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-1 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
03.02.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-4 HT 1-3 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
19.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 4-0 HT 2-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
29.07.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-2
AWAY Club Guarani
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani edged past Nacional Asuncion 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Club Guarani made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 47% of the ball to Club Guarani's 53%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.33 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?

Nacional Asuncion 1-2 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 40%, draw 31%, Club Guarani 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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