Torreense U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.75
Over 2.5
34%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.7pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
53%
+12.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
47%
-12.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.31/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.00
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense U23
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
25.04.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 HT 0-0 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense U23
1-0
AWAY Sporting CP U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense U23 edged past Sporting CP U23 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Torreense U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torreense U23 had 54% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 46%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torreense U23 and 2.00 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Torreense U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Torreense U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Torreense U23 31%, draw 34%, Sporting CP U23 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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