Gil Vicente U23 1-2 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.4pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.53/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.05
+14% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Benfica U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
05.03.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-5 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1-2
AWAY Benfica U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 nicked a narrow win over Gil Vicente U23 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 55% of the ball to Benfica U23's 45%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 1.50 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Benfica U23?

Gil Vicente U23 1-2 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 31%, draw 26%, Benfica U23 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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