Benfica U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
+56% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-5 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
0-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 edged past Benfica U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 57% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 43%, shots finished 18-13.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Benfica U23 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 49%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente U23 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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