Sporting CP U23 2-2 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.50
+12% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
13.09.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
17.04.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
26.09.2023 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
2-2
AWAY Estoril U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 and Estoril U23 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 50% of the ball to Estoril U23's 50%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 1.20 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23?

Sporting CP U23 2-2 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 46%, draw 29%, Estoril U23 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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