Carabobo 2-2 Yaracuyanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-1.5pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.81/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.94
-2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Yaracuyanos
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.10.2021 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 1-0 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos VEN
20.08.2021 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
14.05.2021 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-2 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
02.12.2020 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
01.11.2020 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-1 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
2-2
AWAY Yaracuyanos
2.15 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
281 Passes 179
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Yaracuyanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo and Yaracuyanos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Carabobo carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 57% of the ball to Yaracuyanos's 43%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.15 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Carabobo and 1.00 for Yaracuyanos.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Yaracuyanos?

Carabobo 2-2 Yaracuyanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Yaracuyanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 58%, draw 26%, Yaracuyanos 16%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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