Nublense 1-0 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.40/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.37
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.5 Crosses 14.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 214
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
16.06.2025 Nublense Nublense 2-3 HT 1-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
04.08.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-1 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
03.03.2024 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
09.10.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
22.07.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-0
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.95 xG 0.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 397
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense nicked a narrow win over Audax Italiano 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nublense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nublense had 41% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 59%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.95 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nublense and 1.17 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Audax Italiano?

Nublense 1-0 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nublense 42%, draw 24%, Audax Italiano 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nublense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nublense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
16 Feb 2026
02:30 Colo Colo vs Union La Calera Analysis →