Audax Italiano 0-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.37/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.92
-4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.4 Crosses 17.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nublense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 0.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 388
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
09.10.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
22.07.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense CON CSA
14.07.2023 Nublense Nublense 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano CSA
25.04.2023 Nublense Nublense 2-5 HT 1-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
01.07.2022 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
0-1
AWAY Nublense
0.41 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 225
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense edged past Audax Italiano 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Nublense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 55% of the ball to Nublense's 45%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.41 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Audax Italiano and 0.83 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Nublense?

Audax Italiano 0-1 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 37%, draw 27%, Nublense 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ BTTS Yes
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