Deportes Iquique 1-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +23%
1.99/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.33
-25% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.8 Crosses 14.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
29.01.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
24.09.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-3 HT 0-3 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
22.11.2019 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
11.05.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
26.08.2018 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
1-1
AWAY Union La Calera
1.39 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
332 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Iquique and Union La Calera shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Iquique at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 55% of the ball to Union La Calera's 45%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.39 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Iquique had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Iquique and 1.00 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera?

Deportes Iquique 1-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 45%, draw 26%, Union La Calera 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportes Iquique), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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