Cobresal 3-2 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.74/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.76
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -54%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.4 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cobreloa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.25 xG 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
237 Passes 287
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-1 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
24.08.2023 Cobreloa Cobreloa 4-2 HT 3-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİK
21.08.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 1-3 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİK
01.12.2018 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-2 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİB
24.11.2018 Cobresal Cobresal 2-1 HT 1-1 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
15.02.2015 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-3 HT 1-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
3-2
AWAY Cobreloa
2.75 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 155
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal squeezed past Cobreloa 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cobresal as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cobresal had 60% of the ball to Cobreloa's 40%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.75 to 0.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cobresal's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobreloa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cobresal and 2.17 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Cobreloa?

Cobresal 3-2 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 53%, draw 23%, Cobreloa 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobresal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cobresal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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