U. Catolica 1-1 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-8.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.19
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.5 Crosses 17.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Palestino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
13.08.2023 Palestino Palestino 3-0 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
26.02.2023 U. Catolica 5-2 HT 3-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
25.07.2022 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
28.02.2022 Palestino Palestino 3-2 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
28.08.2021 Palestino Palestino 3-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
1-1
AWAY Palestino
0.59 xG 1.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
240 Passes 252
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica and Palestino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, U. Catolica had 48% of the ball to Palestino's 52%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.59 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for U. Catolica and 2.00 for Palestino.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Palestino?

U. Catolica 1-1 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 34%, draw 30%, Palestino 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palestino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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