Qabala 0-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 16 Feb 2026

Qabala
0-1 HT 0-0
Sabah
📅16/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
67%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
15%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
67%
Away Win
64%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 69%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
0.55/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.86
-29% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -34%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sabah
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
04.02.2026 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERK
03.11.2025 Sabah Sabah 1-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
09.03.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 2-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
22.12.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
06.08.2023 Sabah Sabah 5-0 HT 3-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
02.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 3-2 HT 1-2 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah nicked a narrow win over Qabala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Qabala and 1.83 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Sabah?

Qabala 0-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Qabala 12%, draw 21%, Sabah 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
16 Feb 2026
13:30 Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz Analysis →