Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Montana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Montana EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+48% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Montana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2025 Montana Montana 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1-0
AWAY Montana
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Montana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia edged past Montana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Septemvri Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 51% of the ball to Montana's 49%, shots finished 11-4.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?

Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Montana in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 37%, draw 30%, Montana 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Septemvri Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
16 Feb 2026
18:30 Botev Vratsa vs Dobrudzha 1919 Analysis →