Montana 2-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montana
2-0
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montana vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montana beat Septemvri Sofia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Septemvri Sofia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montana had 37% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 63%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Montana vs Septemvri Sofia?

Montana 2-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montana vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montana 33%, draw 26%, Septemvri Sofia 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Septemvri Sofia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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