Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BUL1
2-1
HT 0-0
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
Cherno More Varna 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Cherno More Varna and Lokomotiv Plovdiv shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Cherno More Varna carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 46%, shots finished 9-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Cherno More Varna 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 62%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No went the other way.