Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BUL1
2-1
HT 0-0
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BUL1
Cherno More Varna 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv squeezed past Cherno More Varna 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 62% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 38%, shots finished 14-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.17 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Cherno More Varna 1-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 51%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.