Slavia Sofia 1-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
20%
+9.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-11.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 60%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.78/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.35
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
1W-2D-2L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
05.12.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
01.12.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
06.08.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
09.04.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
1-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia squeezed past CSKA Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 52% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 48%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.00 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Slavia Sofia 1-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 29%, draw 26%, CSKA Sofia 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia)
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