CSKA Sofia 0-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 18%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.39/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.71
-24% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.12.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
01.12.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
06.08.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
09.04.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
0-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 13
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia squeezed past CSKA Sofia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 52% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 48%, shots finished 22-21.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.50 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

CSKA Sofia 0-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 48%, draw 25%, Slavia Sofia 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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