Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
01.10.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.06.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-2 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0
AWAY Levski Sofia
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad edged past Levski Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 54% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 46%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 1.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 43%, draw 25%, Levski Sofia 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
17 Aug 2024
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