Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BUL1
2-1
HT 0-0
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
BUL1
Cherno More Varna 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Cherno More Varna edged past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 51% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 49%, shots finished 15-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Cherno More Varna 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 54%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.