Hebar 1918 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 29%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.69/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.81
+49% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
18.08.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
29.04.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-4 HT 1-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 beat Hebar 1918 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 51% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hebar 1918 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hebar 1918 and 0.67 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Hebar 1918 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebar 1918 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 37%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hebar 1918), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hebar 1918) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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