Santa Clara U23 1-0 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.31/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.55
-23% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2025 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
18.02.2025 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
26.04.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.02.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-0
AWAY Leixoes U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 edged past Leixoes U23 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Clara U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 47% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 53%, shots finished 14-2.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Santa Clara U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 0.25 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-0 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 44%, draw 28%, Leixoes U23 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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