Chrudim 3-1 Zbrojovka Brno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrudim EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zbrojovka Brno EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.49/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.01
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrudim
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Zbrojovka Brno
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 4-1 HT 2-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
11.05.2022 Chrudim Chrudim 3-2 HT 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
21.11.2021 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 3-2 HT 2-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
21.06.2020 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 3-2 HT 2-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
05.10.2019 Chrudim Chrudim 1-4 HT 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrudim
3-1
AWAY Zbrojovka Brno
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chrudim vs Zbrojovka Brno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrudim beat Zbrojovka Brno 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Chrudim made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chrudim had 47% of the ball to Zbrojovka Brno's 53%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zbrojovka Brno led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Chrudim and 3.20 for Zbrojovka Brno.

What was the final score of Chrudim vs Zbrojovka Brno?

Chrudim 3-1 Zbrojovka Brno in the Czech Republic - FNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrudim vs Zbrojovka Brno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zbrojovka Brno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chrudim 32%, draw 28%, Zbrojovka Brno 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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