Lisen 3-0 Opava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 16 Mar 2024

Lisen
3-0 HT 0-0
Opava
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lisen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Opava EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.38/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.95
-5% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lisen
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Opava
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.08.2023 Opava Opava 2-0 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
06.05.2023 Lisen Lisen 0-0 HT 0-0 Opava Opava ÇEK2
14.10.2022 Opava Opava 1-2 HT 1-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
16.04.2022 Lisen Lisen 1-1 HT 1-0 Opava Opava ÇEK2
02.10.2021 Opava Opava 1-1 HT 0-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
POST-MATCH Lisen vs Opava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lisen swept aside Opava 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Opava at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Lisen and 1.00 for Opava.

What was the final score of Lisen vs Opava?

Lisen 3-0 Opava in the Czech Republic - FNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lisen vs Opava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Opava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lisen 30%, draw 29%, Opava 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Opava), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Opava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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