Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 16 Mar 2024

Deportivo La Coruna
1-1 HT 0-1
Sabadell
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2023/2024

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sabadell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Sabadell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.99/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.24
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.0 Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sabadell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sabadell
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Sabadell Sabadell 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
01.02.2014 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS2
01.09.2013 Sabadell Sabadell 0-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
31.08.2013 Sabadell Sabadell 0-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna nan
25.02.2012 Sabadell Sabadell 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
17.09.2011 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 2-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS2

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sabadell — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
AWAY Sabadell
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna and Sabadell couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo La Coruna carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 67% of the ball to Sabadell's 33%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.50 for Sabadell.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Sabadell?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 58%, draw 24%, Sabadell 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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